Portal:Practices
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Revision as of 09:38, 4 February 2010
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Foresight Wiki portals: Clarifications · Narratives · Practices · Repository
Practice is... please give a short description of what a practice is.
- Environmental Scanning & Monitoring
- System Dynamics
- Structural Analysis
- Agent Modelling
- SWOT Analysis
- Trend Intra & Extrapolation
- Modelling & Simulation
- Gaming
- Creativity Methods (Brainstorming, Mindmapping)
- Expert Panels
- Delphi survey
- Backcasting
- S&T Roadmapping
- Critical & Key Technology Study
- Scenario Building
- Morphological Analysis & Relevance Trees
- Cross-Impact Analysis
- Multi-Criteria Analysis
Scenario Building is a process designed to improve decision-making by analyzing possible future events – trends, cycles, opportunities and risks, "wild cards" – and considering alternative possible outcomes, as well as their implications. A scenario is not a prediction about the future, but a narrative that underlines discontinuities, reveals choices, and illustrates aspects of a possible future. Scenario Building stimulates strategic thinking, creativity, communication and organizational agility, allowing individuals and organizations to become proactive, and work towards a desired future. However, building credible scenarios is a difficult process, as they always undergo the risk of being either too general and lacking in-depth analysis and quantification, or extremely technical and formalized. (more...)
