Repository: Deliberating Foresight Knowledge for Policy and Foresight Knowledge Assessment
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META-DATA Author(s): von Schomberg R., Guimarães Pereira A., Funtowicz S.; Year: 2005; Title: Deliberating Foresight Knowledge for Policy and Foresight Knowledge Assessment; Publisher: European Commission, Directorate-General for Research, Information and Communication Unit; ISBN: 92-79-00678-9 |
Deliberating Foresight Knowledge for Policy and Foresight Knowledge Assessment is a working paper authored by René von Schomberg, Ângela Guimarães Pereira and Silvio Funtowicz, and published by the European Commission, Directorate General for Research in November 2005. This report was included in the mandatory bibliography of the module Visions and Visioning that was thought to graduate students from the National School for Political and Governance Studies (Romania) as part of the course on the Management and Implementation of Research Projects.
Description
The paper is an bold atempt to provide fresh clarifications on the nature of foresight knowledge and its relevance for policy-making. In itself, this audatious enterprise would have been reason enaught to place this text in a central position within the current dialogue on future research. Hoever, the authors go even further, and attempt to provide an approach to the problem of assesing foresight knowledge!
Foresight, Deliberation and its relevance to policy
The authors perceive a shift towards foresight in the early 1980s, when it had begun to be generally acknowledged that technological developments are not liniar and autonomous, and thus technology forecasting lost credibility. Foresight knowledge offered the promise to guide and support the policy process by means of exploring possible futures, identifying impacts on society (particularly, on certain categories of stakeholders or sectors of society), and developing visions based on such futures. At the same time, foresight activities seemed to be more suitable to deliberative process that characterize modern societies, allowing deliberation based o foresight knowledge that takes place in the spher of policy-making and at the interface between science and policy. The first level of deliberation assumes a political consensus on the need of long-tem planning, as well as foresight activities capability to early anticipate and identify threats, challenges and opportunities. At a second level, there is the deliberation of shared objectives, build upon the outcomes of political deliberation. A third deliberation level capitalizes a diverse range of knowledge inputs by applying foresight (scenario workshops, foresight techniques/studies/panels etc) to particular issues of concern.
External links
The paper is available for download.
Deliberating Foresight Knowledge for Policy and Foresight Knowledge Assessment